Fib’s parlor
Chapter 1 · Host: Fib
Coin of Lies
Four gamblers, four ledgers, one suspicious streak. Your evidence budget is small, so spend it where it can prove something.
- 01Opening Night
- 02Same Song, Louder
- 03The Nervous One
- 04Grandma's Lucky Streak
- 05The House Always Wins
On trial: variation, sample size, and why one streak proves little.
Skip’s workshop
Chapter 2 · Host: Skip
Galton Board
One bead is a coin flip. A thousand make a shape. Work out whether someone has tampered with Skip’s pegs.
- 01Call the Bead
- 02More Beads, Same Heap
- 03The Wider World
- 04The Lean
- 05The Last Stand
On trial: single paths versus the overall shape and spread.
Vale’s stage
Chapter 3 · Host: Vale
Monty Hall
Vale opens a door and offers a switch. Generous, random, or a trap? Test the host across many doors before you decide.
- 01Three Doors
- 02More Doors
- 03Call Me Generous
- 04The Understudy
- 05Ten Doors
On trial: conditional probability and the host’s rules.